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DBS: Sales Takeaways – FRASER CENTREPOINT TRUST (FCT SP) POST RESULTS NDR – TAKEAWAYS AND COMMENTS

KEY HIGHLIGHTS OF 1H2022 PERFORMANCE

 
1.        YOY rental reversion rose 1.73% (incoming vs outgoing) and 4.12% (average vs average)
2.        All refinancing for FY22 in place – extend debt maturity profile to 2.5 yrs (previously 2.1 yrs). Green loans are 22% of total borrowings
3.        Some tenants are seeing sales exceeding pre-Covid levels
4.        Around 68% of debt hedged to fixed rate, of the rest every 50 bps rise in SOR/SORA will have a -0.169 cts impact on DPU
5.        Revenue +1.5% yoy, NPI + 3.8% yoy, Distributable income + 3.3% yoy. Full contribution from ARF offset by lost income from divested malls

Q&A

DPU retention

Retained $4.8m out of prudence (no specific reason) as there was no visibility on the timing of reopening. FCT has historically done this over the years

Inflationary cost pressures

Operating expenses – working to find ways to improve productivity/efficiency

Progressive wage model is in place for security and cleaning staff so cost can only go up

Utilising tech – eg smart cameras to reduce headcount (for security). For cleaners, using tech to reduce headcount – previously, one staff assigned per toilet vs “call on demand” now

Utilities contracts fully hedged. FY22 – only 1 ppty contract coming up end Aug

FY23 – 1 asset coming up for renewal at end Feb 23 – rest at end of May 2023

Hedging of interest rates

Increasing hedge position (54% last quarter. Now 68-70%).

1H2022 – average borrowing cost at 2.2%. To trend up in coming quarters – forecast for full year FY22F in the “mid 2s”

Occupancy Costs (now a low 16%) – room to raise rents?

More clarity now – retailers and shoppers all more confident v reopening

Bulk of renewals are done, 15% remaining

Aside from improvement in sales, remixing was done along the way (removal of non-performing tenants)

Occupancy cost reduced by strategies like introduction of speciality retailers (Waterway Point) and excellent tenants like Don Don Donki

No significant drop in rentals during the pandemic but there was some fall in short term vacancy. Being filled up now + converting these to permanent leases

Other income – outlook? (using 2019 as base – this makes up 10% of total revenue)

To rebound back stronger in 2H

Car park income should improve with removal of Trace Together

Casual leasing, A+P panels (other income sources) should pick up as well

Acquisitions

20% of Waterway Point – if the JV decides to sell, this would be 10% to FCT and 10% to Far East – potentially $130m (Waterway Point valued at $1.3b)

North Point City South Wing (valued at over $1b) from the sponsor. FCT currently owns North Wing which is back to pre-Covid levels

Ongoing discussions, they believe a single owner can bring great synergies.

Comfortable gearing helps them to act quickly if needed

Current bank spreads and cost of 5-yr loan

Spread still attractive and at comfortable range. When they refinance the $120m its still less than 3% all-in.

Omni-channel sales

FRX, Makan Master, E-Store, Omni-channel online sales at stores – all captured in GTO. Sales captured at head office or outside malls are not captured but leakage is very small

Makan Master – overall average not significant but driven by campaign and promotions (varies over months)

Seeing more usage – repeat customers etc

Platforms meant to help retailers and make it easier for consumers to shop

Pandemic has seen greater onboarding of retailers

Reopening of borders

All FCT malls are suburban so don’t really depend on tourists. Maybe Causeway Point (but not large)

Some trades doing well now off low base – luggage, winter products, travel agencies

No significant impact on the whole

Back to office

No immediate jump in footfall yet. Not back 100% for most workers yet. Hybrid is the way forward

Won’t be a rebound in traffic to pre-Covid levels anytime soon

Focus on sales – despite 60-70% of pre-Covid, sales have surpassed pre-Covid. Will be boosted by the return of transient customers

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