- CSI 300 rises as much as 3%, extending gains amid global rout
- China data beat estimates; PBOC keeps key interest rate steady
By John Cheng and Jeanny Yu
June 15, 2022
Chinese stocks rallied to their highest in three months, extending a recent outperformance over global peers, as the country’s growth-focused policy lures investors seeking a reprieve from global market meltdown.
The benchmark CSI 300 Index jumped as much as 3% Wednesday afternoon, taking its gains in June to more than 5% amid a global sea of red. The S&P 500 Index earlier plunged into a bear market as did a key MSCI Inc. index of world equities, with traders pricing in a 75-basis-points rate hike by the Federal Reserve later today.
Bets that China’s policy support will help revive the Covid-hit economy got a boost Wednesday from better-than-expected May data on industrial output and retail sales. Having been hammered during weeks-long lockdowns in key cities, Chinese equities have shown extraordinary resilience during the latest global selloff, helped also by Beijing’s dialing back of a crackdown on the key technology sector.
“We are seeing some improvements in May which are certainly positive to market sentiments,” said Redmond Wong, market strategist at Saxo Capital Markets. “The key is now whether the Covid situation can remain contained and if there’s a resumption of more stringent pandemic control measures.”
Chinese stocks were the best performers in Asia Wednesday, with financials leading the advance. A number of brokerages including Everbright Securities Co. and CSC Financial Co. rose up to 10% for the second day. The Bloomberg Intelligence gauge of property developers also climbed as new-home sales posted the first month-on-month rise this year.
The overall market gains came even as the People’s Bank of China kept a key policy rate unchanged. The rate on the central bank’s one-year medium-term lending facility was left at 2.85%. A small number of polled analysts had expected a reduction of either five or 10 basis points.
China’s consumer prices rose a mere 2.1% in May from a year earlier, a fraction of the pace in the US at 8.6%. That’s seen as giving Chinese authorities the room to further loosen monetary and fiscal policy settings as necessary.
“Not cutting rates for now is a reasonable move given that China is not in a rush to do it,” as recent economic figures were not very bad, said Castor Pang, head of research at Core Pacific-Yamaichi International. “Investors are waiting for a slew of measures to keep pushing up the market, from property to auto market incentives, rather than just a single cut.”
In a sign that sentiment is on the mend, the turnover for stocks on the mainland is set to top 1 trillion yuan ($149 billion) again for the day, marking seven out of eight sessions above that level.
In Hong Kong, the benchmark Hang Seng Index rose as much as 1.7%. The Hang Seng gauge of tech shares advanced more than 3%.
As China stocks continue their climb out of a mid-March trough, the list of strategists and money managers turning bullish, or reiterating optimism on the market, has only been growing. Foreigners have snapped up more than 13 billion yuan of mainland shares as of Wednesday afternoon, poised to extend their buying streak that’s continued in all but one day this month.
A key factor still weighing on stocks is Beijing’s adherence to Covid Zero. Small scale movement controls are frequent even as a blanket lockdown across Shanghai has been lifted, and the specter of restrictions returning with just a handful of infection cases may put a cap on the rally.
Lockdowns in China are “one of the key risks and hopefully, we had already seen the worst,” Selina Sia, head of Greater China equity research at Credit Suisse Wealth Management, said on Bloomberg TV. “Moving forward, of course, a full recovery is likely going to take some more time, but I hope that we would move toward the right direction and things can move more positively from here.”