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DBS: Maanshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd – Sharp decline in interim earnings expected (-ve)

Posted on July 18, 2022July 18, 2022 By alanyeo No Comments on DBS: Maanshan Iron & Steel Co Ltd – Sharp decline in interim earnings expected (-ve)
  • Magang (323 HK) issued interim profit warning, expecting a 68% yoy decline in 1H22 earnings to RMB1.5bn, worse than expectation.
  • This translates to a 93% y-o-y decline during 2Q, as GP plunged on lower steel ASP and rising production cost.
  • Expect Chinese steel products’ GP pressure to remain, hence steel companies earnings would continue its declining trend in 3Q from their high base last year.  
  • We have HOLD rating for Magang. 

What’s New

  • Magang (323 HK) has issued interim profit warning worse than expectation.
  • Six-month earnings had dropped 68% y-o-y to only RMB1.5bn, representing a 93% y-o-y decline during 2Q.
  • The decline was primarily due to Chinese steel product average prices drop of 10% y-o-y in 2Q compared to a 7% increase in the first quarter.
  • Also due to the significant increase in major raw materials cost during the period.

Our View:

  • Since July, Chinese steel product prices downtrend continue to be faster than production cost decline. 
  • In anticipation of Chinese steel products’ GP pressure to remain, we believe steel companies earnings would continue its declining trend in 3Q from their high base last year.  
  • Trading to the lower-end of the historical valuation range, we have HOLD rating for Magang. 

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Research - Equities Tags:Maanshan Iron & Steel Company Limited

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