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DBS: Ascott Residence Trust – Buy Target Price $1.40

Proposed acquisition of nine sponsor assets
What’s New

Summary of Acquisition assets

PropertyLocationNumber of unitsLodging Type / Contract TypeEBITDA yield (FY21)Est. total capitalised costAppraised ValueAdditional details
Le Clef Tour EiffelParis, France112Serviced Residence
Master Lease
3.7%S$151.3mS$150.4mFixed rent master lease with variable rents and annual indexationScheduled for AEI (master lessee funded) to end by 2024, assets remains operational in the interim 
5 Japan Rental HousingOsaka, Nagoya, Hyogo, Kyoto – Japan 427Rental HousingManagement Contract4.1% – 5.0%S$79.0mS$80.7mAverage length of stay at 2 years, predominantly local corporate long-stay guests
Standard at Columbia (additional 45% stake)South Carolina, US247 rooms, 679 bedsStudent Accommodation (Development project)Management Contract5.0%S$34.8mS$41.4mExisting development project, Stakes to increase from the current 45% to 90%.Expected completion in 2Q23
Quest Cannon HillBrisbane, Australia100Serviced ResidenceMaster Lease6.5%S$29.7mS$28.7mMaster lease with rent escalation and reviewOperated by Quest Apartment hotels and situated in emerging suburb of Cannon Hill
Somerset Central TD Hai Phong CityHai Phong, Vietnam132Serviced Residence, Management Contract3.2% (9.7% on 2019 levels)S$23.5mS$24.1mThird largest city in VietnamLocated within a catchment of amenities and close proximity to 3 industrial parks

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Our thoughts

Delivering on acquisition amidst tightening spreads. 

This marks the first major acquisition announced by ART this year following S$850m worth of deals executed in FY21. We believe that the delivery of 2.8% accretion is commendable taking into account the narrowing yield spreads that we have seen across the entire lodging assets space as well as funding structure of approximately half equity. Over the past year, institutional interest for longer-stay lodging assets has narrowed significantly in the span of 50-100bps, landing asset yields between 3.75% to 4.50% in the short span of a year. ART has benefited from their first mover advantage into this longer-stay lodging segment with potentially higher and more acquisition hurdles this year as opposed to the past year, alongside higher funding cost. The decision to bring in equity fund raising instead of further stretching leverage come to us as potentially further acquisitions lined up for this year, which we think will be structured in a similar way. We see ART’s placement as potentially one of the few to take place this year within the hospitality space and timed amidst the recovery cycle. 

Closing in on target longer-stay asset target exposure. The 9 acquired assets parks distinctly under either ART’s growth strategy or income resilience strategy. Le Clef Tour Eiffel, Quest Cannon Hill, and the longer-stay assets will continue to deliver stable income with underlying asset performance strong at above 80% occupancy levels, and long lease periods in the range of 1 – 2 years for the longer-stay properties. Somerset Central TG Hai Phong City will deliver multi-year growth to return to pre-COVID EBITDA yields of close to double digit levels from 3.2% from last year’s low, and potentially surpass on the RevPAR metrics as what we have witnessed for other markets that are ahead in the relaxation curve. Post-acquisition, exposure will increase from the current 17% to 19%, a step closer to ART’s medium term target exposure of 25% – 30% exposure within the longer-stay lodging segment.

We maintain our BUY call, TP S$1.40 and estimates for now pending completion

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