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DBS: Elite Commercial REIT – Buy Target Price GBP0.70

Posted on August 16, 2022August 16, 2022 By alanyeo No Comments on DBS: Elite Commercial REIT – Buy Target Price GBP0.70
Two more lease breaks exercised

Results highlights

  • Elite Commercial REIT (ECR) reported 1H22 revenue of £18.7m, which is 17.7% growth y-o-y, mainly due to the full half-year rental contribution from its maiden acquisition on 9 March 2021
  • Distributable income rose 9.7% y-o-y to £12.2m, also attributable to lower tax expenses 
  • Distribution per unit (DPU) of 2.56 pence declined 2.7% y-o-y on a larger unitholder base from 2.63 pence in 1H21 that included an advanced distribution of 0.9 pence
  • 3.5% upward revaluation of portfolio value to £517.7m as at 30 June 2022, from £500.1m as at 31 December 2021
  • NAV per unit grew to £0.62 as at 30 June 2022, from £0.61 as at 31 December 2021
  • Gearing ratio declined to 41.9% as at 30 June 2022, from 42.8% as at 31 March 2022
  • Two more properties exercised the lease break option, bringing the total number to 12 
  • Rental income secured up to March 2028 for 87.5% of portfolio by annualised gross rental income after removal of lease break options
  • Portfolio occupancy remains high at 98.0% as at 30 June 2022, with vacancies at John Street, Sunderland and Sidlaw House, Dundee 
  • Manager has collected 99.9% of rent for 3Q22 in advance and within seven days of due date
  • Long WALE at 5.2 years as at 30 June 2022

Earnings revision

  • Cut FY23F revenue to GBP36.3m from GBP37.2m to factor in the new lease breaks for 2 properties (Lindsay House, Dundee and Ladywell House, Edinburgh) and our conservative assumption of zero income
  • Lower FY23F net property income (NPI) to GBP35.3m from GBP36.1m
  • Upside to earnings if ECR finds new tenants for the 12 properties or divests them
  • FY22F/FY23F DPU lowered to 4.58/4.48 pence from 4.70/4.70 pence 
  • Cost of debt assumptions increased to 2.6%/3.0% for FY23F/FY24F post re-financing 

Maintain BUY with lower DCF-based TP of GBP0.70

Elite_1H22-150822Click here to Download Full Report in PDF

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Research - Equities Tags:Elite Commercial REIT

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