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DBS: ESR-Logos REIT – Buy Target Price $0.50

Alert: Future-proof modern logistics facility in Japan through Sponsor’s pipeline

Maiden entry into Japan

EREIT just announced the proposed acquisition of ESR Sakura Distribution Centre for S$183.5m (including rental support) from its Sponsor. As this is an interested party transaction, EREIT will have to seek unitholders approval at an EGM. The property is a five-storey logistics property in Sakura City, Chiba Prefecture in Tokyo, and the purchase consideration is c.21.8% lower than market comparable in the Chiba Prefecture. 

Some additional details of the property:
Two funding scenarios; both scenarios will be DPU accretive

As the transaction will require approval from unitholders at an EGM, we believe the earliest the acquisition can be completed will be in October 2022. Depending on market conditions at that time, EREIT has identified two possible funding scenarios.

Source: ESR REIT
Scenario A:
Scenario B:
Our thoughts

With this proposed acquisition, we believe it underlines EREIT’s ambitions to grow its portfolio in key logistics markets in Asia Pacific, and it also highlights its access to its Sponsor’s pipeline and commitment to grow EREIT into a leading new economy REIT. Although the acquisition yield is relatively tight, the future-proof facility is expected to benefit from the tight supply in Chiba Prefecture and will benefit from rising rents. The 12 month rental support will also help stabilise the property’s earnings in the near-term as EREIT works on back-filling the c.25% of NLA that was recently vacated by a tenant in May 2022.

Although EREIT has identified two possible scenarios to fund the acquisition, we believe Scenario B will be a more prudent approach as gearing will only inch up to c.40.6%. While market may be focused on the potential equity fund raising, we note that the need to raise c.S$75m is a very manageable amount for EREIT given its market cap of c.S$3.0bn, and this would not place any major overhang on the REIT. Depending on the issue price of the units during the equity fund raising exercise, DPU accretion could also potentially be higher or lower than the projected 0.5%.  

While we await for further details on the proposed acquisition and the EGM, we will be maintaining our BUY recommendation and TP of S$0.50.

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