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DBS: Singapore Stock Pulse – 2 datapoints to potentially offset anticipated weak 2Q23 results for technology stocks

Posted on July 10, 2023July 10, 2023 By alanyeo No Comments on DBS: Singapore Stock Pulse – 2 datapoints to potentially offset anticipated weak 2Q23 results for technology stocks

Trending Sector

Singapore Tech Stocks

2 datapoints to watch in the upcoming 2Q23 results

FY2022 foreign currency risk disclosure

 Base ReportedMYR exposure(in SGD’ 000s)
UMSFinancial Assets5,607
VentureAssets28,840
AEMNet Assets29,528

Source: DBS Bank, Companies FY22 annual reports

Global semiconductor sales (US$bil)

Source: Semiconductor Industry Association, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

  • Two positive factors to watch amidst the anticipated weak showing for upcoming 2Q’23 results – 
  • #1) Currency impact (as USD has strengthened against MYR) may be positive for those manufacturers operating out of Malaysia
    • Venture, UMS, AEM have manufacturing plants in Malaysia, with additional facilities coming up for Venture (400k sqft in Batu Kawan) and UMS (300k sqft in Penang)
    • Venture and AEM have MYR as the second largest FX currency cost exposure (after USD)
  • #2) Orderbook momentum should pick up on positive signs of industry bottoming/turnaround
    • Semiconductor Industry Association: Global semiconductor sales recorded a third consecutive positive m-o-m increase in May
    • Gartner: Expects 1.3% q-o-q growth in DRAM (subset of the weak memory segment) revenue in 2Q’23, and double digit growth thereafter to 3Q’24
    • Better-than-expected results and optimisic outlook by Micron and Samsung reinforce this
  • We remain hopeful of a stronger 2H’23 vs. 1H’23, and a recovery in 2024 -> UMS Holdings (BUY, TP S$1.32) is our top pick in this sector 

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Research - Equities Tags:AEM, UMS, Venture Corp

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