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DBS: Capitaland Ascott Trust – Buy Target Price HK$.30

Hot on the heels of another divestment – Citadines Mount Sophia sold

What’s new

Our thoughts

Exit price translates to c.960k per unit. The divestment price of S$148m represents a price per key of c.S$960k, which tracks closely to past hotel transactions within the CCR region. The most recent transactions in the market within the CCR region include Park Royal hotel (full service) on Kitchener Road, which was sold for S$968k per key, and service residence Orchard Hill Residences (under branding Accor’s MGallery), which was sold for S$1,011k per key. Exit yield of 3.2% will mean that the income gap from the divested asset can be fully neutralised by corresponding debt repayment, on the notion of CLAS’ average cost of debt. CLAS divested a total of 10 assets since early 2023, for a total quantum of S$408m, with an average exit yield of 3.8%. Paring down of debt from these proceeds will lower gearing by close to 2ppt. We see the divestment proceeds be rechannelled into upcoming AEI commitments (The Temple Bar, Cavendish London, Novotel Sydney Central), a positive move to switch up a mature asset with stabilised yields into (i) AEIs delivering ROI of >10%, (ii) Uplift in RevPAR to enhance asset valuation post AEI and support NAV/share, (iii) while maintaining gearing at the current c.38% for further asset acquisitions. 

Investment interest into the hospitality market returns. The onset of the news is accompanied by another few hotel properties on the market that are in advanced negotiations as the softening interest rate environment, accompanied by strong RevPAR performance within the Singapore hotels market has now prompted buyers to take action. Singapore and Singapore Tourism Board has shaped itself well as a top MICE and concert hub venue, with estimates that full recovery in this space will come in 2024 – 2025. A stronger MICE calendar helps solidify forward bookings and room rates as room demand visibility is stronger across MICE event months. 

Amongst other hotel assets that is on the market, Capri y Fraser is said to be undergoing due diligence, while Citadines Raffles Place is also in the process of marketing. 

The list of hotels that are currently in process of marketing or due diligence include:

Source: DBS Bank Ltd, Company

Comparable transactions in the market

DateProperty NameTypeAddressUnitsPrice ($m)$/Units (‘000s)Owner/BuyerSeller
Feb-24Citadines Mount SophiaServiced Residence8 Wilkie Road154148960CapitaLand Ascott REIT
Jan-24Hotel GLimited Service Hotel 308240779CapitaLand Gaw Capital
Jul-23Parkroyal on Kitchener RoadFull-service Hotel181 Kitchener Rd542388.24968Worldwide HotelsUOL Grp Ltd
Jun-22Orchard Hills ResidencesServiced Residence30 Bideford Rd168125.211,011Roark Capital Ltd, Boustead Singapore, Lim Cher Meng Realty Pte LtdSin Capital Partners
Apr-22SO/ SingaporeFull-service Hotel35 Robinson Rd134176.911,791Viva Land Investment & Development Joint Stock CompanyRoyal Group
Mar-22Central Square Village ResidencesServiced Residence20 Havelock Rd128244.282,446CDLFar East HTrust

Source: DBS Bank Ltd, Media

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